Vaal 16/7/15

would it be foolish to fancy Wild Dancer after dissing Johnny

My Genie Outsider double: E/W
Race 1 # 12 River Sunset
and
Race 3 # 4 Maji Moto

My Gavin Lerena Double:

Race 7 #3 Miss December
Race 9 #1 Tell My Star

What beats ANASA will win - Huge value at 7-1 Was traveling like a winner but saddle slipped and Fortune could not assist. Best place bet on the day and Float exacta with field or even bank exacta with as many as you like. Watch her on the outside rail

Watch this

Anasa race 1. I'd rather back this for a place than a win on the favourite. Been backed on every occasion, unlucky last time when Fortune was up. Will go very close if not win today. happy punting guys. break a leg.

Going BIG on a p6 today... 25%

2,6
1
2,3,6
1,4
1,2,3,5,6,13
4,5

Greg thanks I am adding and will go for a smaller percentage
10 Tabreek (Aus)
3 Miss December
1 Tell My Star

Win - Sanshia's rock
Place - Night Moves
Place - Victorious

PA:
4,6,7/2,6/1/3,10/3,4/3,10/1,4,14

Looks quite competitive to me - thoughts:

R2: I don't trust the favorite - and if LG's first timer is not that fancied, then I think Analyse This is a big runner - also some nice place value imo about Ayrton - improving and stable in form

R3: Competitive sprint; Dream Leader disappointed on the weekend, but is effective over this trip and not without a chance - stable companion Maji Moto finished in front of DL on Saturday, so could upset; Salute the Sun better on the sand, but has a chance racing off his turf rating; my first choice in this open race is Clean Cut - falls into that 'I backed it last time' category, so just on that will probably canter in today

R4: Jin-go-la-ba (what a name :S ) ran into big trouble last time, so looks set to go very close today; Night Moves does not really find a finish, so I think the biggest danger to J could be Fannalies Girl - fair run last time from a wide draw and has her 3rd run after a rest today; Sweet on You is in an out, but could feature at best, while Sheik's Diamond is also set to improve over the 1600; J to win with any of the others mentioned to fill the places

R5: Heptagon really looks the part here; Ciao-Ciao and the 5 time winner Double Bind the only possible challengers imo

R6: Wide open contest; obviously not a lot between quite a few of them on the race which Woza Madoda won over this trip; could be that Boy Boy and Lucky Luciano (both returning from rests that day) will improve enough to fight this out, but even Move Like Jagger may improve some with the blinkers - so not too many without chances - load up

R7: Very competitive sprint; the value imo is Flag of France who has a win and a 2nd from only 3 runs over this trip - but all of Varbration, Miss December, Victorious and Seventh Symphony hold obvious chances as well

R8: Easy Street looks the right one, but she could face stiff competition from King's V - Gavin sticks with her and she is surely overdue for that 2nd win; roughies to consider for that big P6 include Lemonade River (fair last KZN run in a Grad Plate before a rest so could give Matchett a welcome back present) and Gentle Desire (only win was over this trip, holds Antonia Major on earlier form and should improve in her 2nd start after a rest)

R9: Does not look to be a lot between Artic Route, Cape Marigold and Celine; my preference is for Celine who looked unlucky when beaten by CM last time; Tell My Star has not won at this track or over the distance, so the other to include could be Mystic Trigress from the hot Alexander yard - but my limited budget will probably force me to go with Celine

Enjoy

URGENT FURY
MISS DECEMBER
EASY STREET

Race 1 - I think Sanshia's Rock will get it right today. Jockey knows her and last start this c & d was a good one. 3rd,4th and 5th have all placed since and time wasn't bad for a workriders.