Kenilworth, 13/01
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- Sammy Silver
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agomydada wrote: 3 From a punting perspective I think Sark has a fight on his hands.The alarm sets off with a look at the form of his last run to Tsitsikamma Dance where Inn Of Court was 4.50 behind in comparison to him finishing 7.90 to the 50/1 shot One Life Live It behind Horizon over the same distance
Then go to the latters 2000m run to Cape Extreme when running with the pace he held out Gibraltar Green by a length (That finished 2.20 behind Sark over 1600m)
One Life Live It has shown best form over the mile and yes GG finished well ahead in its last and that race also brings in the two other 4yos with On Winters Traces having a direct interaction with the favourite
Am probably not looking at the race with much objectivity and really don't put too much in racing's egg on my face idiom but for the above reasons and that he has been gelded I would have abstained from including him in multiples.
Another concern is the Crawford runner who if you acquainted with WF speed figures shows him a shade ahead on their September 9th runs
Odds on horses really need their form to be pristine before inclusion
Wow you were correct!!
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- durbs
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agoNice holiday for the bookies then.As soon as the stable comment for a 6-10 shot was a good each way chance we should have been a bit worried.Must have been well underdone to not even find a place in this field.bayern wrote: This could be a card of attrition, the entire day for punters versus the bookies hinging squarely on the outcomes of races 2 and 3. Because the odds in these two races are somewhat prohibitive, many will be using these two as a spring-board into larger multiples, I intend to anyway. If one of the two gets beat or both, then the bookies have their post Sun Met holidays paid for. Conversely, if these two arrive, the flood gates could open for the punters - big time.
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- mydada
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agoSammy Silver wrote:mydada wrote: 3 From a punting perspective I think Sark has a fight on his hands.The alarm sets off with a look at the form of his last run to Tsitsikamma Dance where Inn Of Court was 4.50 behind in comparison to him finishing 7.90 to the 50/1 shot One Life Live It behind Horizon over the same distance
Then go to the latters 2000m run to Cape Extreme when running with the pace he held out Gibraltar Green by a length (That finished 2.20 behind Sark over 1600m)
One Life Live It has shown best form over the mile and yes GG finished well ahead in its last and that race also brings in the two other 4yos with On Winters Traces having a direct interaction with the favourite
Am probably not looking at the race with much objectivity and really don't put too much in racing's egg on my face idiom but for the above reasons and that he has been gelded I would have abstained from including him in multiples.
Another concern is the Crawford runner who if you acquainted with WF speed figures shows him a shade ahead on their September 9th runs
Odds on horses really need their form to be pristine before inclusion
Wow you were correct!!
Yes, if I have to say it myself I think it was a brilliant post
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- bayern
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agodurbs wrote:Nice holiday for the bookies then.As soon as the stable comment for a 6-10 shot was a good each way chance we should have been a bit worried.Must have been well underdone to not even find a place in this field.bayern wrote: This could be a card of attrition, the entire day for punters versus the bookies hinging squarely on the outcomes of races 2 and 3. Because the odds in these two races are somewhat prohibitive, many will be using these two as a spring-board into larger multiples, I intend to anyway. If one of the two gets beat or both, then the bookies have their post Sun Met holidays paid for. Conversely, if these two arrive, the flood gates could open for the punters - big time.
Unfortunately that's how the cookie crumbles, the nature of the game. All's not lost though, on the day - we fight back.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
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- Craig Pienaar
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agobayern wrote: Frozen Tune, can be with this one next time out.
Apparently running Met day , fill your boots :woohoo:
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- durbs
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months ago
All we can do is go on form and just hope the trainers bring the horses back to the track in good order otherwise keep away from horses coming back from breaks.That stable is a decent stable so I thought it would have been fit enough or maybe it got injured in the running.
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- Craig Pienaar
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agoSammy Silver wrote:mydada wrote: 3 From a punting perspective I think Sark has a fight on his hands.The alarm sets off with a look at the form of his last run to Tsitsikamma Dance where Inn Of Court was 4.50 behind in comparison to him finishing 7.90 to the 50/1 shot One Life Live It behind Horizon over the same distance
Then go to the latters 2000m run to Cape Extreme when running with the pace he held out Gibraltar Green by a length (That finished 2.20 behind Sark over 1600m)
One Life Live It has shown best form over the mile and yes GG finished well ahead in its last and that race also brings in the two other 4yos with On Winters Traces having a direct interaction with the favourite
Am probably not looking at the race with much objectivity and really don't put too much in racing's egg on my face idiom but for the above reasons and that he has been gelded I would have abstained from including him in multiples.
Another concern is the Crawford runner who if you acquainted with WF speed figures shows him a shade ahead on their September 9th runs
Odds on horses really need their form to be pristine before inclusion
Wow you were correct!!
I'm also shocked , must be the 1st winner he tipped since he started posting :lol:
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- Sammy Silver
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months ago
4 Love Dove 6.40 1.90
I make this the horse to beat in Race 4.
Has the fav beaten on collateral formlines.
I make this the horse to beat in Race 4.
Has the fav beaten on collateral formlines.
The following user(s) said Thank You: mr hawaii
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- mydada
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months agoCraig Pienaar wrote:Sammy Silver wrote:mydada wrote: 3 From a punting perspective I think Sark has a fight on his hands.The alarm sets off with a look at the form of his last run to Tsitsikamma Dance where Inn Of Court was 4.50 behind in comparison to him finishing 7.90 to the 50/1 shot One Life Live It behind Horizon over the same distance
Then go to the latters 2000m run to Cape Extreme when running with the pace he held out Gibraltar Green by a length (That finished 2.20 behind Sark over 1600m)
One Life Live It has shown best form over the mile and yes GG finished well ahead in its last and that race also brings in the two other 4yos with On Winters Traces having a direct interaction with the favourite
Am probably not looking at the race with much objectivity and really don't put too much in racing's egg on my face idiom but for the above reasons and that he has been gelded I would have abstained from including him in multiples.
Another concern is the Crawford runner who if you acquainted with WF speed figures shows him a shade ahead on their September 9th runs
Odds on horses really need their form to be pristine before inclusion
Wow you were correct!!
I'm also shocked , must be the 1st winner he tipped since he started posting :lol:
idiot remark as the wow is in lieu of tipping a 66/1 to be ahead of an odds on shot
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- Craig Pienaar
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Re: Kenilworth, 13/01
7 years 5 months ago
Interesting comment from Marcus that Drier told him Sand and Sea would be 1 run short , he obviously hasn't ridden it in work recently then :blink:
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- DOCTOR R
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