After yesterday's disaster at Fairview (and I expected many of the hotties to be rolled - but not by complete roughies), there are plenty of hotties to re-coup losses today - or not ? It hasn't really rained yet - but the forecast is for showers - which may change things (as we saw yesterday) - thoughts:
R1: I do think Master Casper the right one - good form and getting 3kgs from the danger Lead the Charge
R2: Trappy race imo - Poplar Park not a great debut, so the de Kock debutantes should go close - but which one ? I think Sunfire the danger - tries blinkers and a good draw, while Chasing Shadows has pole position and Muzi up - not easy
R3: I think both Sutherland and Tiger Storm are above average and I expect them to fight it out from Inspector James
R4: Roman's Revenge ready to win; Jaham reportedly needs gelding but should improve more over 1800 and is the danger
R5: Towers of Gold hard to beat from pole position; I think Gamer prefers 1600 and is threatening to win, but Muzi seemingly prefering the hottie; Obsidian may improve this trip while the ex-Cape filly Coral Blaze gets 3 kgs from the males (and 6 kgs from the year-older Gamer) - so could surprise
R6: Typical handicap - top 2 imo Chasing Happines and So Seductive - but even There She Goes not out of it
R7: Another handicap - for me Nettleton gets blinkers again and is the one to beat; Micke's Bomb gets pole position which will help, but she has not won for more than a year; Golden Aspen has won this track and trip, so could be dangerous with Phantom Express if ignoring her last run
R8: Barbaresco most likely in need of the run, but he does like softer conditions (if they pan out) and would need to be very ring-rusty to be beaten; Sukhumvit gets 9,5 kgs from B, but also returns from a break and does seem better further; the others have mountains to climb at the weights - so if one does not fancy the top 2 in the betting, rather take all of them in the exotics
R9: Competitive handicap; Confederate all the rage, but has it all to do imo; beaten by Pressonregardless in his first start, who subsquently ran behind Golden Pavilion who has a good draw and gets a tongue-tie - has won in the soft, but as a 1-time winner from 19 starts would need improvement; Shinto Shrine tries blinkers so muast have chance; roughie might be Hazlo Grande - had 2 recent fair runs at this track and may like softer conditions
Enjoy.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Dean321, Dazza
Topic Author
