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Wednesday, 11 April 2018 18:14

Finding Troy has the speed

Baahir NH2

In the first race, a workriders maiden over 1000m, Finding Troy over raced last time over 1600m but three runs ago went close over 1200m…

 

The Vaal Classic track stages a low key eight race meeting tomorrow and it looks to be a card where Tote exotic bets could be the best way to go.

 

In the first race, a workriders maiden over 1000m, Finding Troy over raced last time over 1600m but three runs ago went close over 1200m. The blinkers have now been put on over 1000m and he should have enough speed to beat this uninspiring field. Ragnarok has been disappointing since showing a bit of promise in his first three runs but has a good opportunity to earn again. Casual Wear is a first-timer by the decent sire What A Winter and is a half-brother to a number of multiple winners including the like of Tomba La Bomba and Shatoosh.
Baahir


In the second race over 1200m Certifiable ran a good race over 1160m in his penultimate start from a tricky low draw by trends when showing pace and staying on. His low draw this time is favourable and he should go close in another uninspiring field. Lord Silverio is a nice looking grey with a big action and will have a big chance here on ability. He is a R1,1 million purchase by Silvano out of a Linney Head mare who won the Grade 3 Jacaranda Handicap and he has a fair draw under S’Manga Khumalo. However, he has not run since last September when backed into 18/10 before being slow away and finishing lame nearly ten lengths back. King Of Delta has run some close up places over sprints and has a chance despite a wide draw. An interesting first-timer here is Latch, who is by Pluck and is out of a half-sister to the Grade 2 Gauteng Fillies Guineas winner Heaps Of Fun. Pluck won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf and is a close relative of the top class Master Of My Fate, who has made a fine start to his stud career. Civil Disobedience is also an interesting first-timer being by Rebel King out of a Centenary mare who has produced five winners, as he should have some speed.

 

In the third race Silvez looks to be the best bet on the card. He was slow away over 1160m on Saturday but stayed on well to finish a 1,85 length fourth. Ensemble has fair form in sprints. Fragrant Miss is best at sprints on form despite having initially struck as one who would stay further. She would have just about been the form choice if it wasn’t for her high draw, which is unfavourable by trends on this track.

 

In the fourth race over 1200m Wild Curve went close to Premier Show in her penultimate start and the latter has since won once and been placed in two separate features, so he is the one to beat from the plum number one draw. Baahir is a model of consistency and he has now come down to a competitive merit rating. He also has a plum low draw. Shortstop has turned the corner since being associated with apprentice Denis Schwarz, who can extract a strong finish from him and they have reeled off a hattrick together. However, Schwarz recently rode his 60th winner so has lost his claim and the horse has also been raised five points for his last win so it won’t be easy to win this one. Star Of Joburg is a talented sort who was a big disappointment in his first run out of the maidens. However, he was found later to not be striding out so likely needed the layoff he has been given. Aranjuez is quite a nice looking type but has disappointed over further since leaving the maidens so is interesting stepped down in trip. Master Boulder has a form chance but the draw is against him.

 

Waity Katie was one a well regarded sort in Cape Town and has found her feet in no uncertain terms since joining the astute trainer David Nieuwenhuizen. She won with authority last time and can make it four on the trot in the fifth race over 1800m from a fair draw over a trip she should enjoy. Sha-Boom Sha-Boom looks the main danger over a suitable course and distance.

 

In the 6th over 2400m Ali Bon Dubai has struck as a decent stayer in the making. It is a Middle Stakes event and some are officially well weighted and others aren’t, but the result in these staying events often makes a fool of the weights and he can score two in a row having won well over 2850m last time. Cardiff Castle comes from the strong centre of Cape Town, where he had some decent staying form, so is the main danger unless the altitude factor stops him.

 

The last two races are typically tricky sprint handicaps. Shifting Shadows went close to a fair sort in Ouro the last time she ran on the Inside track and she found no extra that day over 1200m so she looks the one to beat in the seventh from a nice low draw over the minimum 1000m trip.

 

In the last race Just Africa has plenty of speed and the intelligent rider Ryan Munger could get the best out of him as his race will need to be finely judged. He went close the last time he ran over course and distance despite hanging in badly late from an unfavourable wide draw and he now has a slightly better draw and is effectively two points lower in the merit ratings. Supanova from a plum draw has a fine form chance too.

By David Thiselton

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