Who will win Vodacom Durban July ?

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Poll: Who will win Vodacom Durban July ? And why?

Hawwaan
8 19.5%
Rainbow bridge
13 31.7%
Do it Again
9 22%
Other
11 26.8%
Total number of voters: 41
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  • Zietsman Oosthuizen
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1 year 1 month ago #762784 by Zietsman Oosthuizen
Who will win Vodacom Durban July ? was created by Zietsman Oosthuizen
Who will win?

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1 year 1 month ago #762809 by Mac
If he runs he wins, Hawwaam.


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1 year 1 month ago #762814 by bayern

Mac wrote: If he runs he wins, Hawwaam.


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Hear, hear

Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy

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1 year 1 month ago #762817 by Mac
Nowadays, don’t they have to be shipped out BEFORE the July for those who will be relocated to the UAE for the carnival season. If Hawwaam is going to Dubai then I doubt he will run in the July. I did back him y’day to win the July, oh my dear.


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1 year 1 month ago #762818 by Karma
DO IT AGAIN.....

Are you living your life or waiting to die?

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1 year 1 month ago - 1 year 1 month ago #762820 by Biggie626
HEAD HONCHO WILL WIN
Last edit: 1 year 1 month ago by Biggie626.

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1 year 1 month ago #762823 by Craig Pienaar
Craig Pienaar on topic Who will win Vodacom Durban July ?
This year is gonna be a upset , now to find the winner :blink:

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1 year 1 month ago #762824 by Bob Brogan
Hawwaam will be close to odds on imo if he runs... PS Sportingbet seem to have forgot to adjust after yesterday`s race and Mike de Kock`s comments... They are 11/4, Hollywood 14/10

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1 year 1 month ago #762830 by Frodo
I'm tempted to say 'other' - it is a handicap after all - and although Hawwaam did everything asked of him, I don't think the win yesterday enhances his chances by much - in fact he might go up in the ratings and have to carry 57 :unsure: Then there's the pace - if there is a pace this year, he may struggle to find clear run in a big field - so the value lies with the longer priced runners imo

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1 year 1 month ago #762840 by the hawk
Having attended the Handicapping Roadshow after the races yesterday, I can confirm that Hawwaam's rating has not been changed following his Daily News victory - still set to carry 56kgs in the VDJ.
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1 year 1 month ago #762841 by Thor

the hawk wrote: Having attended the Handicapping Roadshow after the races yesterday, I can confirm that Hawwaam's rating has not been changed following his Daily News victory - still set to carry 56kgs in the VDJ.


Surprising news if this is indeed the case?

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1 year 1 month ago #762843 by Bob Brogan
I would reckon The HAWK would know

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1 year 1 month ago #762847 by Hurley
Snaith's filly won her race far more impressively then Hawwaam his race as identified by their times

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1 year 1 month ago #762867 by Frodo

the hawk wrote: Having attended the Handicapping Roadshow after the races yesterday, I can confirm that Hawwaam's rating has not been changed following his Daily News victory - still set to carry 56kgs in the VDJ.


Thanks Graeme - and I assume that Twist of Fate's rating remains the same as well - so he should come in at 54 kg - receiving 2 kgs from Hawwaam; yet is trading at 7x the odds :dry:

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1 year 1 month ago #762896 by Bob Brogan
Twist Of Fate has been my call for months and he ran very well on Saturday (Although i do think Hawwaam toyed with them a bit)

Anyway Fresnaye could get in the race? I think she would run well at the huge odds (150/1)

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1 year 1 month ago #763044 by Jackson
In still with Rainbow bridge

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1 year 1 month ago #763057 by Bob Brogan
All top horses are quirky imo

Doing It Again Would have won the Cape Derby if he hadn`t ersed about in the early stages


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  • Zietsman Oosthuizen
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1 year 1 month ago #763200 by Zietsman Oosthuizen
Zietsman Oosthuizen on topic Who will win Vodacom Durban July ?
Do it Again - current 125 rating and handsdown the best horse in the country.
I have him running to a 128 in QP and with all his troubles in running in Met still achieved a 124.
If not having traffic problems can win again. Love this track and i expect a very good pace that will suit him very well.
I took lots of wins on a decent price. Should be fav.

Rainbow Bridge - 124 rating currently and getting 0,5kg from Do it Again. I have him running 122 in QP and with the run of the race 125 in Met. Only way he can win is with plenty luck and plenty badluck for others.
I took plenty places to finish in top 6. Now way too short in the betting.

Hawwaan - 121 rating currently nd won all 3 last starts with a handful but how much was still left in that tank? I have him running to 119 , 115 and 116 in his last 3 races ....on that he needs to improve 1 to 3 lengths to match Do it again .... he may well do it but with his head full of rocks , his difficulties in running and the huge crowd July day, i am sitting on the sideline and will give him a standing ovation if he wins . For me way too short and can win without my money and way to many excuses i already can think of if he looses.

Head Honcho - the horse i have plenty money on to run in top 6 at massive odds. Love the c/d and on a shorter straight would have won the Met. He is a strong frontrunner and the best kick at the top of the straight. I will have plenty doubles and trebbles in him for wins and places at any price over 12/1.

Legal Eagle - 116 rating currently and best weighted horse in the race on his QP and Met run. Yes , i believe the July will be his last run and the race he should have won already. Ignore his last 2 runs when i think the plan was to drop his rating with the July in mind. Lyle will definitely ride him cold and if he gets the right gaps can upset them . I took plenty 6/1 a place to run in top 6 . Just like with HH i will take plenty more double and trebbles into him for wins and places with a price over 16/1. ( i started backing him 65/1)

Eyes wide Open - currently 109 but will be 1kg under sufferance but in Met ran to 114 and won grey1900 to 109. I took some nice places to finish top 6 in July. Can win with plenty plenty luck but will be close.

Doublemint- 104 currently and doubtful to make final field if not running a huge race coming weekend. Will be weighted to run from a 111 rating in July if he gets in but he ran to a 117 in the Met. In the grey1900 he fluffed his lines so only a huge run this weekend will get him in. I took some places at big odds (only the price because of doubt he will get in)

My top 3
Head Honcho
Do it Again
Legal Eagle
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1 year 1 month ago #763201 by Dave Scott
Thanks Ziets
As far as punts for first 6 is that not a tote bet and at this stage you dont know your return, or did you take fixed odds with a bookie?

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1 year 1 month ago #763206 by Zietsman Oosthuizen
Zietsman Oosthuizen on topic Who will win Vodacom Durban July ?

Dave Scott wrote: Thanks Ziets
As far as punts for first 6 is that not a tote bet and at this stage you dont know your return, or did you take fixed odds with a bookie?



Fixed odds ( i like to know i am getting a fair deal when i put my money down). Crazy to take tote place up to 6 places.... you will be lucky to get maybe 3/1 tote place odds on a 50/1 come the July race where they will have 6 places on the tote again.

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