vdj 2013, early form study, thoughts and fancies.

Shrek - Agree that Beach Beauty is the one to beat, but the more i look at PV the more i think if she hits that turn ahead of BB she wont be caught. If BB jumps on terms and gets accross its race over.

If one take a line through Rock Cocktail (2,25L behind Jet Explorer receiving 2 kg) in the Greyville 1900 he runs only one length behind Vercingetorix in the Daily News (at level weights) in a blanket finish with No Worries, CTN, Wylie Hall and Wild One - this would suggest that the three year olds may be held by the older horses in the July???

colins Wrote:

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> If one take a line through Rock Cocktail (2,25L
> behind Jet Explorer receiving 2 kg) in the
> Greyville 1900 he runs only one length behind
> Vercingetorix in the Daily News (at level weights)
> in a blanket finish with No Worries, CTN, Wylie
> Hall and Wild One - this would suggest that the
> three year olds may be held by the older horses in
> the July???


Indeed - so CTN absolutely no value at the same odds as JE imo

Seal!

Mac Wrote:

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> River Crossing in the Consolation - a nap bet and
> at a big price

Some more nap's (and at good prices) (tu)
Race 10 - Merhee
The KZN Millions - Virgo's Babe

Trifecta. - H54, CTN, DYR, shogunnar

bayern Wrote:

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> Nothing better than starting the day with a
> winner, R1 - Shimmer And Shine (6/1). This horse
> has got quite a bit going for it. About 7 months
> ago it was a MR 94 and is now MR 79. In it's last
> run it's MR was 81 and it ran 4/4 (6.75 lengths)
> to none other than Run For It (MR 106) in receipt
> of 5.5kgs wherein fact had it been a handicap it
> would have received about 12.5kgs - also second
> run in the province. Saturday, draw 5 and they
> have slapped on the blinkers:. For what it's
> worth, it opened 10/1 on Monday.
>
> Don't tell anybody else, okay:D

Following on the above posting, here are comments from the Snaith stable, the last sentence of the article is the one which interest me most as this horse has been backed into 3/1.

Attached files snaith comments.pdf (66.8 KB)Â

Thanks Bayern for attaching the Snaith's comments. (tu)

Race 9 : It would be hard to look past both PRINCESS VICTORIA and BEACH BEAUTY on "form". Although BB has been soundly beaten by PV (1.50 lengths) over 1200m at Clairwood in April 2012, BEACH BEAUTY is a very different horse since then and 1200m is far from her prefered distance. One factor for me remains that much of PV's success was achieved with Cormack in the irons and he now rides BB which he has shared better fortunes. Fayd'Herbe seems to get into tricky situations as was displayed once again yesterday on POUNCE and to be honest has done very little on PV despite PV going off at odds 6/10 in her last, I won't forget because I had rockets landing if she won that race but it wasn't to be. IMVHO BEACH BEAUTY will make PV look silly on Saturday and all who have her bankered good on you because she will prove once again how good she is. For my money the safer bet would be to back PV to run unplaced, Just my opinion though.

I'm sorry guys.Beach Beauty not in the first two.And if BFH gave PV such a poor ride why is he on,in a G1 to boot.Regarding my first point

Ben-Hur Wrote:

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> I'm sorry guys.Beach Beauty not in the first
> two.And if BFH gave PV such a poor ride why is he
> on,in a G1 to boot.Regarding my first point


Ben-Hur we will see after the race. I make Beach Beauty the best bet on the card.

I see that both Whiteline Fever and Hill Fifty Four lost their appeals to drop their merit ratings.