Vaal 06/02

Discuss

Not sure if there is a thread open already?

R5, Torre Del Oro should go close off that weight. The immediate market rivals Zouaves and Pure Blond may be better suited to slightly further, and at the weight turn-around, it's difficult seeing Pure Blond finishing ahead of Torre Del Oro

Colin Dav wrote: Discuss

Here are my fancies however the card looks to hold little hope for small punters

1 Saint Michael looks all overs
3 Cumberland Sporting Monarch Tandava none are distance suited but upset potential
4 Announcing Rain
5 African Ruler if ready
6 Scotland
8 Salmon Run

R1: St Michael

R6: Scotland

R7: French Legend


Fire the treble boys!!

Celtic lady
Barbie doll
Awful fields

Race 1...Savitar each way bet for me. I know that Saint Michael has the betting support and dropped in the betting. Most probably can win.....but Savitar ran 6 lengths to Lobo Legend and the form of that race is out of the top draw. Even the horse that ran last ran third in its next start. I just think that 7/2 a win and 5/10 a place on the track were it ran it's best race to date 2 runs back is something to take note off.

Kaotik PA Punter wrote: Race 1...Savitar each way bet for me. I know that Saint Michael has the betting support and dropped in the betting. Most probably can win.....but Savitar ran 6 lengths to Lobo Legend and the form of that race is out of the top draw. Even the horse that ran last ran third in its next start. I just think that 7/2 a win and 5/10 a place on the track were it ran it's best race to date 2 runs back is something to take note off.

Not sure where you see '6 lengths to Lobo Legend' .... in my book it shows 12.9 lengths - still as you say the form of that race is strong and he also ran 5 lengths behind Brightnumberten (who is no slouch) - so I also think he is nice value

Thanks. I got the info slightly mixed up as I am at work......and with a house focus. Actually meant 12.9 lengths. The 6 lengths was a typo...what I was trying to say was that the horse that ran 16 lengths in that race Little Magic came out and won, and then ran 2nd again.

Now that I see what I typed it only covered half my thoughts ...Thanks for the heads up Frodo

Frodo wrote:

Kaotik PA Punter wrote: Race 1...Savitar each way bet for me. I know that Saint Michael has the betting support and dropped in the betting. Most probably can win.....but Savitar ran 6 lengths to Lobo Legend and the form of that race is out of the top draw. Even the horse that ran last ran third in its next start. I just think that 7/2 a win and 5/10 a place on the track were it ran it's best race to date 2 runs back is something to take note off.

Not sure where you see '6 lengths to Lobo Legend' .... in my book it shows 12.9 lengths - still as you say the form of that race is strong and he also ran 5 lengths behind Brightnumberten (who is no slouch) - so I also think he is nice value

Anything else you Like Frodo?

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk

Am having a bit E/W on Reventador in the first (12/1 in the UK). Ran well last week until weakening near the finish and the drop back to 1000m should suit in what doesn't look the strongest of maidens.

I think a challenging card - smallish fields except for the 4th and the 8th ... so probably even when the fancied runners get beat, divs may not be in the champagne and caviar category

R1: Saint Michael all the rage - gets blinkers and back to the 1000 should be hard to beat; Savitar has fair form and coul make SM run; then the filly Class Protector had a great run in the Cape behind Ngaga and could upset here

R2: Weakish looking maiden where Mademoiselle does not have to be a star to win - obvious dangers could be Esstoora and Internetbet who both had made fair debuts - Kindavar and Thru Thic and Thin have had a few chances so needs improvement imo

R3: Should be a closely contested handicap; Barrack Street has been very disappointing but his run behind Speedpoint in the Cape was very good - not sure why Lyle is no riding, but must be considered; He's Great holds both Punta Cana (should improve) and Rebel's Champ; neither Sporting Monarc nor Whorly Whorly can be ignored

R4: 16 fillies and mares contesting a handicap - so many with chances; I think at the price Lady of the World has as much chance as any and Inyanga also looks well in at the weights - obviously none of the fancied runners can be ignored

R5: Looks like another teaser; Torro del Oro is in good form and could run them down and Splendid Garden is really due for another win (752 days since his last) and looks nice value; Zoauves has seemingly found betting support, for me the 1200 could be too short, but all of Marmook (1 kg out not that serious over a sprint), Golden Man (always a trier) and Pure Blonde look lively runners

R6: Another open race; bar the obvious ones, I think Defy Gravity is worth including; probably needed his first run back after gelding and has dropped in the ratings, so should be competitive here; Trip to Paradise another that can challenge at the weights, but with him one can never be sure that he will jump ....

R7: Smallest field in the P6, so maybe the race to take a chance - Afwaa cosy win last time when supported in the betting and may have more to come, biggest danger imo Red Ridge

R8: Another 16 filles and mares trying to earn money in a handicap; Beautiful Shay won nicely last time and from a good draw again rates the one to beat; Gold Shades could upset, while Hatfield Square should again be right there

All in all not easy with no obvious races to go short imo