Intuition
- saldiani
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Intuition
15 years 4 months ago
This is an philosophical question.
Does anybody of you believe in intuition (in relation to punting)?
has anybody "proofs" for this?
of course, "proof" and "intuition" somehow are contradictions and nothin is so uncatcheable as intuition... nevertheless, what do you think?
examples?
Does anybody of you believe in intuition (in relation to punting)?
has anybody "proofs" for this?
of course, "proof" and "intuition" somehow are contradictions and nothin is so uncatcheable as intuition... nevertheless, what do you think?
examples?
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- Bob Brogan
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Re: Re: Intuition
15 years 4 months ago
You should have asked this in the racing forum you will get a better response,if you want me to move it i will?
Have no proof but i must admit at doing silly savers in the past because horses have jumped of the page at me..
Have no proof but i must admit at doing silly savers in the past because horses have jumped of the page at me..
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- saldiani
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Re: Re: Intuition
15 years 4 months ago
ok, lets move this question to a better place, i am quite interested in answers...
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- Dave Scott
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Re: Re: Intuition
15 years 4 months ago
womans intuition
Mrs S would appear to have it.
I might say i think I should go to the track she might say, dont think its a good idea and if I go I lose
If she says enjoy I normally win
Also if I say a horses name she will either say has a good vibe or bad vibe again 90% hit rate
Has not made me any richer or poorer as I normally do what I had originally planned and she just looks at me and says
"I told you so" I hate it
Mrs S would appear to have it.
I might say i think I should go to the track she might say, dont think its a good idea and if I go I lose
If she says enjoy I normally win
Also if I say a horses name she will either say has a good vibe or bad vibe again 90% hit rate
Has not made me any richer or poorer as I normally do what I had originally planned and she just looks at me and says
"I told you so" I hate it

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- Garrick
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Re: Re: Intuition
15 years 4 months ago
I definitely believe that intuition has some role to play when we are weighing up our punting decisions.
There is a saying that I heard right at the outset of my wagering 'career' ;
When the HEART meets the HEAD bet your maximum.
Literally I take this to mean that when you have done your homework and reached a conclusion as to your proposed course of action then allow a few seconds for your instinct to confirm or, alternatively, give you an uncomfortable niggle.
Without exception I have always come unstuck when ignoring the niggle. And often the disaster had nothing to do with the merit of the bet but rather an unforeseen issue such as slipped saddle, slow away, dropped whip, lost stirrup, broken rein etc.
It was not until I was a good deal older and acquired the ability to correctly weigh up the mathematical chances of backing a winner and only then evaluating the form and my particular fancy that matters began to improve. Now I understand that half a dozen major punts per annum will deliver a year's worth of entertainment as well as the better prospect of profit without the dreaded 'chasing' raising its ugly head.
Most punters will never win because, in effect, they only follow visible market forces ie they back favourites. This means they generally only back the horse usually offering the worst value whilst ignoring the proven fact that only 35% of favourites win globally.
Few punters, in my experience, spend any time evaluating WHY they won and doing more of the same. In fact ( and here I include myself ) their best wins are often those where they 'got out' of enormous trouble with an educated but desperate guess on a LONGER PRICED HORSE. And only because they had run out of sufficient resources to back the favourite!!! So go back and examine your big wins, look for like opportunities, and don't forget to head the alarm bell of intuition when it starts clanging in your subconscious.
And lastly - another good piece of advice which I too often ignored : The next race is NOT the last horse race that will ever be staged. The vulture is a patient bird!
There is a saying that I heard right at the outset of my wagering 'career' ;
When the HEART meets the HEAD bet your maximum.
Literally I take this to mean that when you have done your homework and reached a conclusion as to your proposed course of action then allow a few seconds for your instinct to confirm or, alternatively, give you an uncomfortable niggle.
Without exception I have always come unstuck when ignoring the niggle. And often the disaster had nothing to do with the merit of the bet but rather an unforeseen issue such as slipped saddle, slow away, dropped whip, lost stirrup, broken rein etc.
It was not until I was a good deal older and acquired the ability to correctly weigh up the mathematical chances of backing a winner and only then evaluating the form and my particular fancy that matters began to improve. Now I understand that half a dozen major punts per annum will deliver a year's worth of entertainment as well as the better prospect of profit without the dreaded 'chasing' raising its ugly head.
Most punters will never win because, in effect, they only follow visible market forces ie they back favourites. This means they generally only back the horse usually offering the worst value whilst ignoring the proven fact that only 35% of favourites win globally.
Few punters, in my experience, spend any time evaluating WHY they won and doing more of the same. In fact ( and here I include myself ) their best wins are often those where they 'got out' of enormous trouble with an educated but desperate guess on a LONGER PRICED HORSE. And only because they had run out of sufficient resources to back the favourite!!! So go back and examine your big wins, look for like opportunities, and don't forget to head the alarm bell of intuition when it starts clanging in your subconscious.
And lastly - another good piece of advice which I too often ignored : The next race is NOT the last horse race that will ever be staged. The vulture is a patient bird!
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