TURFFONTEIN - SATURDAY

Louis will he like it soft? Does he have big feet?

The Ibsaar race (although a Pinnacel Plate) really has me stumped - how he can be priced up so short is beyond me (as pointed out he is way out at the weights); Reconcile comfortably best in at the weights (and probably good value at 10/1) - but will she stay the 3000? Personally i agree with gregb that Dancing Red (also out at the weights) could be the right one - always staying on and should be even better over this trip - but not much between DR and Volatile - and there is an old formline that puts V behind Campo de Santana?

In the 4th Ace of Hearts seems a big price at the weights and is a definite PA inclusion imo - most other races very competitive - personally will bank Lusikisiki in the 2nd in the PA and load the other legs - Radiant Rock also seems a big price in the 7th.

Play well - and you won't get another chance this year -D

Frodo,I'm with you on that Pinnacle Plate......I think that if you ran that race every week for a month ,you could get a completely different result every time.....I hate resorting to "feelings" when studying and I will go wide in exotics but I have a strange feeling that Havasha might just make the pace.....and go on to surprise!

imo very difficult racing tomorrow .

i expected Edict to run well last time . I noticed Chambers replaced Lerena last time . i also noticed that Chambers had no control over Edict going to post and in the parade . I think the horse completely disrespected him last time and gave him zero during the race .Edict has done well on the inside track in the past but up to 1200m . I narrowly make him my 1st choice tomorrow with his regular pilot up . He's no banker though so i'l be adding market drift , chill factor and Frodo's ace of spies , could be a nice quartet .

One i do wanna punt is Sparkling saphir in the 3rd . If she can build on her last run she could put that soup meat field to bed . The rest of the card looks difficult , to competitive for me to decipher .

Lusikisiki and Oppie Koppie double for Saturday and then throw in Sage Throne for a treble on Sunday

Could be totally wrong, but imo Havasha does not stay - up to 1600 his best trip I 'feel' - but he has run less than 4 lenghts behind Herod the Great over 2400 and has come down 10 points since then and is 'best in' of the de Kock runners- maybe oscar can shed some light.

Edict's style of running could be his undoing on the inside track around the turn - but must have a place chance in an open contest.

Sparkling Saphir ran in a very weak field last time imo (and drawn wide over a trip where being drawn in the first 5 seems a big advantage), is held by Sakkie Sakkie who has good course and distance form and also has Gavin riding - hard to see Sakkie Sakkie missing out on the places - from the draw Flight Specialist needs to be considered for P6's imo.

Congratulations with your winners the other evening louisg. Could see you were as pleased as punch! Hope all is going well with Pierre and that he is on the mend. Everytime I pick up the paper, D J Detzky jumps out at me. All the best for tomorrow.

Race 5 Pinnacle - RECONCILE; I have to assume her last few runs were way short of her best; before that two wins over 2400m; dont see why she can't do 3000m; new stable with Tarry.

Ditto to Frodo and Tommy re Ibsaar.

Happy new year

Lets take an intelligent bet on the SCIENTIST.

Good morning All

My 5cents worth...WM is the master at these 3000m trips if my memory isn't to fogged up. I will banker his coupling in Race 5.

Egg on my face maybe but will give it a go

showers in Pta
..any feedback on the weather situation?

Frodo /mr Greg
your exotics will once again be most welcome
And to all lets make 2011 last day to remember,for the right reasons.
Thanx