KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

  • BiggySmall
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615120
Congrats Neigh!
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  • drdom
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615121
Nice one :cheer:
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  • Bob Brogan
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615123
.
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  • Dr Fager
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615124
Milton has to be 4 x the class of anything in this field, and all challengers are just hoping that the weight catches him out. Given that - I still make it about a 33% chance winner and hence I wouldn't take the odds available. I will be watching the odds available on Jet Air, and might fancy those odds off the run to Noah from Goa, if enough allowance is made for the perennial trouble this horse tends to get into.

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  • MasterOfMyFate
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615125
Royal Dreamer.

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  • Ice Cold
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615126
I like Jet Air
Gifted For Glory for places

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  • Dr Fager
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago - 9 years 1 month ago
#615127
Tote payouts make a strong case for backing with the bookies , 4/1 and 5/1 was freely available with the books this morning on Jet Air. --> Unless of course you're on an outsider - tote is best for that!
Last edit: 9 years 1 month ago by Dr Fager.

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  • davetheflower
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615128
Dr Fager wrote: Milton has to be 4 x the class of anything in this field, and all challengers are just hoping that the weight catches him out. Given that - I still make it about a 33% chance winner and hence I wouldn't take the odds available. I will be watching the odds available on Jet Air, and might fancy those odds off the run to Noah from Goa, if enough allowance is made for the perennial trouble this horse tends to get into.

Do you take into account the Jockey.

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  • davetheflower
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615129
How many lengths did Milton lose coming all the way across in a SMALL field.
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  • Dr Fager
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago - 9 years 1 month ago
#615130
Not at all, -- except one has to make allowance for Apprentices, depending on how good or how bad they are.

Trainers, Jockeys and Connections just love the public’s allegiance to Jockeys. There is no more powerful tool to manipulate the odds than to mess with the Jockey selection.
Last edit: 9 years 1 month ago by Dr Fager.

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  • Bob Brogan
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615131
davetheflower wrote: How many lengths did Milton lose coming all the way across in a SMALL field.

Jockey on the winner says Milton definitely took a Length out of me

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  • Dr Fager
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Re: KENILWORTH Sunday 8/5/16

9 years 1 month ago
#615133
One of the rules inscribed in my punters bible is that poor value will undo even a champion -- ultimately this game is about value.

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