protecting the image of racing

  • rob faux
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago - 9 years 1 month ago
#613130
Len Sham wrote: Englander correct we don't worry about them as they have never heard of ABC and only make up the pools .. so why must trainers or those in the inner circle worry about us .

Spot on ,which is why the only help we can count on,or expect,or even be entitled to, is in the form of regulation ..............which is the consistency rule ,the "must be raced on merit" rule and further help would be public workouts and barrier trials.
Racing is a fine balance.You have to have a level of inconsistency otherwise punting wouldn't exist ,but the oft explained flesh and blood element should be enough uncertainty...............what is unacceptable, is any added human manipulation as there is nothing in the form studiers armoury that can predict that!
The last thing I want is totally predictable racing ,but I have a problem with regulators who admit that they don't know how to enforce some of their own rules!
It just makes any unacceptable human manipulation,too easy!
In all my years of racing,even when I had horses with stables,I only ever wanted to know the well being of horses,not tips.
Most trainers know all about their horses,obviously ,but very few have the time to do the relative form of what they running against,and sometimes being "very well " isn't good enough to win!
Last edit: 9 years 1 month ago by rob faux.

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  • elmer
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613145
I believe that a large number of clanners {not all} think trainers are setting up coups on a weekly basis. Nothing is further from the truth and has been for years
How many GOOD punting stables are there?
Very few because racing is too competitive
A few years ago I was in the company of 2 trainers and 4 jockeys in Cape Town
I asked the question Who is the best trainer in CT Opinion was Bass
I then asked if best is a 10 what is and named various other trainers
I could not believe the low scores given to some I rated and high scores to some with
poor results This because of thing like he fancies everything to has no idea
But surprise they are rated a small trainer 2nd because "when he fancies 1 they usually win"
Maybe somebody should try this in DBN and JHB

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  • rob faux
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613149
elmer wrote: I believe that a large number of clanners {not all} think trainers are setting up coups on a weekly basis. Nothing is further from the truth and has been for years
How many GOOD punting stables are there?
Very few because racing is too competitive
A few years ago I was in the company of 2 trainers and 4 jockeys in Cape Town
I asked the question Who is the best trainer in CT Opinion was Bass
I then asked if best is a 10 what is and named various other trainers
I could not believe the low scores given to some I rated and high scores to some with
poor results This because of thing like he fancies everything to has no idea
But surprise they are rated a small trainer 2nd because "when he fancies 1 they usually win"
Maybe somebody should try this in DBN and JHB

Very true ..............most people you talk to, think stables create winners ............that happens ,but not often and most attempted coups fail........creating winners is very very difficult! ............................but creating losers is a piece of cake!
It can be very profitable to know what is unlikely to run well.
Some time ago I had access to the info of a jock who rode work for,amongst others, a top stable who saddled a lot of fancied horses.His strike rate in predicting winners was about 10%.(he did no form study!)
When he reported fancied horses that were working disappointingly,his strike rate was 100%- I am not talking about skullduggery,purely assessment of horses work.

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  • Englander
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613158
elmer wrote: I believe that a large number of clanners {not all} think trainers are setting up coups on a weekly basis. Nothing is further from the truth and has been for years

Elmer, not sure about that, I think far more clanners are tired of seeing "good things" fail because they appear to have not been given a, let us just say, fair chance for whatever reason. I think Rob's two posts perhaps portray the truer scenario. Whether it be not running to ability and being accountable for that or giving out information etc, the bottom line is that punters either have to be able to trust their form guides "100%" or have something in their other hand which explains a poor run or that the next run is a prep or whatever, it pretty much all mounts up to the same thing at the end of the day.

BUT, what your sentence above does highlight is exactly what this thread started off as, though in a slightly different way... IMAGE. Let us just assume you are correct in the above statement then the current image, whether it be fair or unfair, is one of a corrupt industry and the whole point is, measures have to be taken to change that image. Carrying on crying that it is all unfair etc is not going to help turn the tide from the current rush to the exit to a hopefully ever increasing trickle through the entrance.

ABC, for all its good and bad points, must surely, at least to an extent, represent the thoughts and feelings of the punting public and if LG's comment that owners/trainers think we are a bunch of moaning old whatevers then that would infer, by association, that punters are a bunch of complaining old whatevers. Hmmm.... not an ideal scenario! :) So, the industry is corrupt and those that punt are just a bunch of moaning whatevers... anyone new out there want to get involved in racing??? lol

As I said before, people have to start thinking outside of the box, not thinking about the inner circle, the die-hard punters etc... think about how you can get someone who works a 10 hour day with travelling etc, has a wife and two kids, household chores/responsibilities, a semblance of a social life etc interested in horse racing and having a punt. If you can find a way of making it more appealing to him to get involved then there are much easier fish to catch out there...

And that is my final word on the thread as I do feel I am being somewhat repetitive! Apologies :)
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  • Marsellus Wallace
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613193
why would anyone back Patrina so much today at the Vaal, opened 66/1 now 12/1?

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  • ElvisisKing
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613214
finished stone last i see !

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  • imin
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613226
Over the Air wrote: Imin I am a believer in the strength of formlines and hence am a big formgrids user.

Perhaps you could enlighten me how you found this horse in the race without knowing something. How did you have the confidence to back this horse after its Joburg debut, and being out MANY lengths on MR.

tbh I don't even know the horse in question!

But don't let that detract from anything

and (on request)I would like to share with you my method to study a race

mind you in my time on ABC many outsiders were found by me ( and my various aliases)

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  • louisg
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago - 9 years 1 month ago
#613235
With respect, there are 29 posters on this thread. 29 people in racing, of which not every one is unhappy with racing or the Botes result or with my long shot which I fancied for a place/quartet running last. But that's the point.
U damned if u do and u damned if u don't, on ABC.
Then we mention other "Trainers" who post on "websites". But I never mentioned "websites" . I was very specific when I mentioned ABC. I never referred to "websites".
Yes, Patrina ran last. Maybe all 29 of the most important and unhappy people in racing will look at the scratchings and the reasons for the scratchings of the last few weeks. And will recall which horse ran last in the race upon which this thread was based.

And have a look at the scratchings for Champions Day on Saturday, before any fingers are pointed at any Trainer.

I have not been in racing and worked with horses for longer than all of you. But, for what it's worth, I have been in Racing since being born into a very successful racing yard, nearly 56 years ago. I have trained for about 25 years in my own right. In all of this time I have never seen a more devastating virus than the one doing the rounds right now.

And I accept that there will be some of u 29 posters who know more than me about training and working with horses, who would now have something to say about this "alleged" virus, as that is what I have come to expect here.

However, I know for sure that all 29 posters on this thread and I have something in common - if we all left racing right now, we would not even be missed and racing will carry on, without any marked effect on turnover at all. Because there are many other Trainers out there just as there are thousands more Punters out there, who staunchly support the tote.

None of us should overestimate our value to racing. The tail just doesn't wag the dog, unfortunately.
Last edit: 9 years 1 month ago by louisg.

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  • naresh
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613237
Abit of the topic, but this slide was shown at the British Riding School when the South African apprentices visited. Very pertinent.

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  • mister a
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613249
this post is written for no other purpose than to share with racegoers on ABC what can be achieved with form study and form study alone, absolutely no information, in the mid 90s I got very serious about punting and my rule no 1 to 10 was "block your ears" which meant that I did not want to hear anything anyone had to say about any horse in any race, so much so that I banned any chat about any race in my circle, I chose all the horses except two, one was selected by FZ and the other by my good friend Gerard, we sat at table 13 at Bruma Tattersalls and punted with the 13 or so big bookmakers that operated from there, we used an investor who gave 30k as an upfront fee for the first tip and he had 40k on the first bet at 9/2 at Bruma and 40k on out of town, the second bet was 200k on a 11/2 shot which we got on for him at Bruma and he got 200k on out of town, the third bet was to win over a bar and a well meaning friend who had seen our tickets was an owner in the trainers yard of the horse we had backed, he phoned the trainer who advised me over the phone to cancel the bet as the horse was out for a run in a sprint far too short for him and he was aimed at a mile race in a few weeks time, I let the bet ride because I had done my homework and the horse won easily, we had no problem getting on in the early stages of the big punting, we got our bets on with all the bookmakers and only went down to place the bets after the canter down, then as time went on some of the bookmakers would not lay to us anymore, we were getting 400 to 600k on a horse and our investor was also punting these horses with out of town bookies, I waited for certainties at around 5/1, we hit about 12 times after that and won over 2 bar on some of the horses, we got to the unusual stage of having to reduce ticket amounts after horses had won in order to help the bookies to settle us, our bets were on at 5/1, 4/1 or 7/2 and by the time the bookies took back the horses were 15/10 or shorter, the 2nd last punt we had as a team was a 9/2 horse selected by my associate FZ, one bookie took a chance and layed the entire bet to us after phoning the owner a fellow bookie who confirmed "the horse could not win", the luckless bookie had to settle us with a series of PD cheques over a long time period because he had not taken back due to the inside info, around that time i was hijacked one Monday and was told orders were to take me to a township, I was lucky to get away, the following Monday one of my circle MH was shot at point blank range, he put his hand in front of his face just in time to deflect the bullet through his thumb and into his shoulder, he was also lucky, we dont know if it was punting related but I made my decision and left racing for many years, MH stayed in the game, in 2005 I put Formgrids on the internet to share the wonderful tool with racing, my success was due to an understanding of handicapping, understanding the WFA scale and my own interpretation of it and a combo of Computaform and Formgrids and off course blocking my ears.
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  • TheBluntPunt
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613254
mister a wrote: this post is written for no other purpose than to share with racegoers on ABC what can be achieved with form study and form study alone, absolutely no information, in the mid 90s I got very serious about punting and my rule no 1 to 10 was "block your ears" which meant that I did not want to hear anything anyone had to say about any horse in any race, so much so that I banned any chat about any race in my circle, I chose all the horses except two, one was selected by FZ and the other by my good friend Gerard, we sat at table 13 at Bruma Tattersalls and punted with the 13 or so big bookmakers that operated from there, we used an investor who gave 30k as an upfront fee for the first tip and he had 40k on the first bet at 9/2 at Bruma and 40k on out of town, the second bet was 200k on a 11/2 shot which we got on for him at Bruma and he got 200k on out of town, the third bet was to win over a bar and a well meaning friend who had seen our tickets was an owner in the trainers yard of the horse we had backed, he phoned the trainer who advised me over the phone to cancel the bet as the horse was out for a run in a sprint far too short for him and he was aimed at a mile race in a few weeks time, I let the bet ride because I had done my homework and the horse won easily, we had no problem getting on in the early stages of the big punting, we got our bets on with all the bookmakers and only went down to place the bets after the canter down, then as time went on some of the bookmakers would not lay to us anymore, we were getting 400 to 600k on a horse and our investor was also punting these horses with out of town bookies, I waited for certainties at around 5/1, we hit about 12 times after that and won over 2 bar on some of the horses, we got to the unusual stage of having to reduce ticket amounts after horses had won in order to help the bookies to settle us, our bets were on at 5/1, 4/1 or 7/2 and by the time the bookies took back the horses were 15/10 or shorter, the 2nd last punt we had as a team was a 9/2 horse selected by my associate FZ, one bookie took a chance and layed the entire bet to us after phoning the owner a fellow bookie who confirmed "the horse could not win", the luckless bookie had to settle us with a series of PD cheques over a long time period because he had not taken back due to the inside info, around that time i was hijacked one Monday and was told orders were to take me to a township, I was lucky to get away, the following Monday one of my circle MH was shot at point blank range, he put his hand in front of his face just in time to deflect the bullet through his thumb and into his shoulder, he was also lucky, we dont know if it was punting related but I made my decision and left racing for many years, MH stayed in the game, in 2005 I put Formgrids on the internet to share the wonderful tool with racing, my success was due to an understanding of handicapping, understanding the WFA scale and my own interpretation of it and a combo of Computaform and Formgrids and off course blocking my ears.

give us a winner then

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  • Englander
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Re: protecting the image of racing

9 years 1 month ago
#613255
Hmmmm, that is the problem with ABC sometimes, you try and leave a thread thinking that you have made your point very clearly and if anything too many times, and then someone says something that you feel you just have to respond to! lol

Louis, I am sure if some clanners did not like what trainers post on their websites then they would slag those trainers off on ABC. But to the best of my knowledge that hasn't happened, at least to any significant degree. That is the real point. You are not damned if you do and damned if you don't on ABC, it depends on what you say and how you say it, irrespective of where you say it. And, seriously, lol, I don't believe I need your permission to bring something into the thread if I so choose, it makes absolutely no difference to me whether you mentioned "websites" or not, imho the reference to "websites" was relevant, if you don't think so then that is your opinion and you are of course entitled to it.

In truth Louis I have no idea why you are posting here in the way (it seems to me) that you are. Maybe I am just tired and reading it all wrong (apologies if so) but it seems to me you are being somewhat confrontational in your posts throughout this thread and now you seem to be implying that anyone who has not had your wealth of experience has no right to an opinion different from your own? I am sure that can't be the case because that of course would be a nonsense. At the end of the day, I and others have serious concerns as to where SA racing is currently, if you think everything is fine and the wheel will keep turning forever in it's current "format" then, again, you are of course entitled to that opinion. I 100% disagree but I am not going to go out and buy a handbag to argue the point with you, I think I have already said how I see it so let us simply choose to disagree.

As for the virus, apart from LG's comment on it a couple of weeks back, personally I have heard absolutely zero about it. That is not to say nothing has been said, I just haven't heard about it. Can anyone tell me where I can find out which stables and horses have been affected? I am sure everyone would agree this information is absolutely vital to anyone who studies form.

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